海外研报

Global Rates Notes: NOK Curve to Steepen vs SEK

n In recent months, the SEK curve has steepened vs G10 peers, and in particularvs NOK. This 2s10s steepening has occurred despite Swedish 10y rates falling vs

GS EUROPEAN EXPRESS: Chemicals

Chemicals – unseen trade tensions – Many investors we speak to are consideringthe implications of the US election and the potential for broad-based tariffs on US

Credit Calls Thursday, August 22,2024

FeatureHG&HYRetail Earnings HalfTimeReport: Mixed consumer keeps retailerscautious (Carla Casella, CEA)It is time for the halftime report, but we feel we have a lot more color from the firsthalfthan the second, This is a good time to refresh

Europe Non Research Other 22 August 2024

Prelty laughable price action around the BLS release yesterday but ultimately, as the Fed minutes reiterated, the labour market isfront and cenitre in thinking now inflation has been conquered (.!) and the most negaltive revision

Korea: BOK signals conditions for easing

The Bank of Korea kept its base rate unchanged at 3.50% on 22 August as widely expected. We saw the BOK’s stance as somewhat dovish as the central bank

Japan: macro fair value of the Nikkei index

The Nikkei Index can be estimated using nominal GDP (JPY trn), net domestic fund demand (corporate savings rate + fiscal balance, % GDP,

Employment revisions – Smaller objects in rearview mirror

◼ Job growth was not as strong as previously thought between April 2023 and March 2024, but the preliminary benchmark revisions don't alter the contours of our near-term forecast for the labor

The BoJ is now likely to front-load policy normalisation

◼ We now expect the Bank of Japan will implement an additional rate hike this year, possibly in October, given the hawkish forward guidance at the July meeting. We previously projected the

Foldable, AI server and satellite early-stage product cycles – initiate SZS, Chenbro, WNC at Buy

We further expand our coverage into 3 areas where we are positive and see the product cycle at an early stage: SZS(foldable), Chenbro (AI server), and WNC (satellite) are well positioned with leading technologies and customer bases. In

The Structured Credit Trader No end to amend and extend

n Despite the rally across spread products, Freddie Ksenior tranches have lagged and now appear cheap vs.