海外研报

Housing deflating, demographics deteriorating, and exports slowing

Unless otherwise noted, information included herein is presented as of the dates indicated. Apollo GlobalManagement, Inc. (together with its subsidiaries, “Apollo”) makes no representation or warranty, expressed or

LESSONS FROM THE '68 AND '80 PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGNS ARE STILL APPLICABLE

Choices made and not made in 1968 and 1980, by the Democrats and Republican candidates,are important lessons in assessing the way forward for this election. The attempted

Upswing in earnings ahead

Star Alliance group,Air China has its primary hub in the Beijing capital and boasts a key advantage in global connectivity,commanding a 27% share of China’s total international traffic in 2019. It is the only Chinese network

ROE outlook outperforms peers

commercial banking, financial transaction processing and asset management services c . The bank isone of the largest banks in the United States, with assets of over c.US$3.7 trillion, as it continues to

S&P 500 2Q earnings preview: Other 493 back in the black

Macro weakened, but an EPS miss is rare. Guidance & revisions improved. We expect a typical 2% beat, smallest since 4Q22.

Week 1: 3% beat in early days

Big Banks delivered on 1Q results, all beating on EPS but not enough to lift stocks higher. Net interest income was guided flat to down, but trading and investment banking

As they extend & pretend, we defend

The RIC OutlookUS households have a record $18.3tn in cash, +40% since ‘19. Cash is already a drag net of taxes, inflation, and Fed cuts. Where’s an asset allocator to go? We favor credit for the

INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE:MORNING BRIEFING

OVERNIGHT BRIEFUS/EU trade: European Equities closed lower (SXXP -0.3%, $X5E -0.7%) with CAC (-1.2%)underperforming also today, Luxury (-1.4%), China Exposed Consumer (-1.4%) and BasicResources (-1.7%) reflected concerns around China. ECB Bank Lending

Breaking up

EUA prices are stuck at €65–75/t and are unlikely to shift far out of that range in the coming week. The call option open interest (OI) stack still to be more highly hedged

Global Fixed Income Markets Weekly

• Summary performance statistics for trades closed in 2022-2024• Covering Europe, UK, Scandinavia, Japan and Australia/New Zealand trades