海外研报
筛选
Cheatsheet - G10 & EM Week Ahead: Summer in the city
It's a quieter data week for G10, markets focused on catalysts such as Jackson Hole (Aug 22-24). Powell is the main event (Fri),
海外研报
2024年08月19日
Back Up To Moderately Overweight
After the abrupt cut to underweight last week,our measure ofaggregateequity positioning bounced to turn moderately overweight again (z score0.33, 63rd percentilel, but is still well below the mid-July highs at the top ofthe historical band. Discretionary
海外研报
2024年08月19日
G10 Cuts Broaden as Data Stabilize
Activity data since the July NFP release have steadily chipped away at fears that theUS economy is rolling over. Cooperative inflation news solidified an already robust
海外研报
2024年08月19日
Apr-Jun GDP Quick Comment: Domestic Demand Recovery Reaffirmed
2024 reveal that real GDP growth came in at 3.1% SAAR, exceeding both the Bloomberg consensus of 2.3% and our 2.6% prior forecast (Japan Economics: Apr-Jun
海外研报
2024年08月19日
Signals from the Credit Market for US Growth Risks
We think signals from the corporate credit market are fully consistent with a soft landing.
海外研报
2024年08月19日
The Viewpoint: How Asian Central Banks Will React
The key debate is still US recession risks. Our US economics team continues to expect a soft landing with the Fed only cutting rates to 3.625% by end-2025.
海外研报
2024年08月19日
On Crude's Tug-Of-War
Bottom Line: A continued softening of oil demand will eventually intensifybearish pressures and pull the floor from beneath oil prices. But we probably arenot there yet..
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Japan: April-June Machinery Orders Flat, but Exceed Previously Announced Outlook
BOTTOM LINE: Private sector core machinery orders, a leading indicator for capex,rose +2.1% mom in June, the first increase in three months, and came in above the
海外研报
2024年08月20日
The Weekly Worldview: As the Dust Settles
As the dust settles following the market turmoil of the past couple of weeks, we huddled with our economists around the world to review the risks to our baseline
海外研报
2024年08月20日
FX Trade Idea-Sell EUR/USD
towards the bottom of its recent trading range in the coming months due to:1. Paring back of some of the market’s dovish Fed expectations for this
海外研报
2024年08月20日
