海外研报

Is Gold A Good Place To Hide?

Despite the recent market rout, gold's performance has maintained its leadership position. Global equities arup 7.5% in 2024YTD, global bonds are up 2.6% over the same period while gold prices have rallied by a soli17%. Given our high conviction

European equities: Q2 2024 earnings season recap

Cautious guidance: Current market volatility is due to a combination of factors in a poorliquidity month and cautious corporate guidance. We continue to recommend a defensivestance and buying into high-quality companies that have derated.

Global Macro Watch Known Unknowns 11 – 16 August

July US CPI should be good enough for a September cutWe forecast headline CPI rose by 0.3% mom in July, owing mainly to a pickup in core

Data offers a bit of comfort, but sentiment still fragile

CPI inflation has improved in recent months following the hotter-thanexpected data in Q124, and we expect that trend to continue with another

European and US Credit:Weekly ChartpackAn overview of credit markets

Credit spreads widened notably towards the end of last week in the wake of weaker thanexpected US labour market numbers, a theme that we previously highlighted in our H2outlook (H2 outlook- borowed time, 4 June 2024). Our base case

Investor Allocations

Marginal decline in price momentum; fund inflows remain strongAmid a somewhat a dovish tone in the July FOMC meeting, which laid thegroundwork for possible rate cuts in September and beyond, globalequities (FTSE All World) ended the month

The storm before the calm?

sectors had wow down moves of less than -2%. Moreover,Real Estate actually finished the week in positive territory.

US Weekly Prospects

Compared to last week’s event-filled calendar, the relatively quiet schedule this week gave time to pause and reflect on the

A slowing, not a slump: what we're watching

We expect a moderate slowdown, and the Fed cutting 25bps in September. But the burden of proof is on the soft landing. Last

The Global 360 Our views around the world

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