海外研报

MS--Valuation Chartbook – September 2024

Key TakeawaysGlobal Staples slightly re-rated on an absolute basis in the last 4W to 20.1x N12MP/E, led by ROW Staples while EU and US valuations were broadly flat

U.S. Desk Strategy CB Views: Jackson Hole Recap

With the clock ticking, the time has come for Fed cuts Powell said “The time has come for policy to adjust” (towards lower rates)…

Americas Morning Research Summary

This summary is compiled from research reports previously published by Barclays Equity Research. A full list of all publications is available on

MSFT Partner Survey; SMiD Internet; APPF, CFLT, QCOM, TENB, VRNS, XRX

The current market rotation appears to be in its final stages. Today, the market saw outperformance in Growth(.PGPURE) and Quality (.JPOPURE) sectors, indicating that the rotation is nearing its end. This rotation is primarilydriven by crowding

Yen Carry And AI Bubble: One And The Same Trade

The analysis of price complexity strongly suggests that the ‘yen carry trade’ and the AI bubble are one and the same trade, premised on three conditions:

Cross-Asset Weekly

The financial market turbulences this week have highlighted that (1) macro risks are shifting from inflation to growth, (2) carry trades are vulnerable to sharp reversals in late cycle ear.

Abrupt Cut To Underweight

Aggregateequitypositioningplungedthis week, falling from a mid-Julypeakat the top ofthe historical range (z score 1.00, 97th percentile) to belowaverage orunderweight (z score -0,26, 31st percentile). This marked one ofthe steepest declines in recent

Week 3: risks of overinvesting in AI overinvestors

Half-time report: 3% beat, guidance improves for large206 S&P 500 companies (46% of index EPS) have reported, beating consensus EPS by

Seeking Certainty Amid Change

We expect a range-bound market in near term, as recent rallyhas largely priced in the positive developments since February.Despite positive policy pivots, we caution against persistentdeflation pressure and rising complexity from trade protection

Asia--Macro_Weekly_Asia_local_markets_resilience_to_be_tested

The Fed is widely expected to begin its monetary easing next week. Amid divided views on the size and pace of US monetary easing, we expect three