海外研报

BofA_US Watch An A+ jobs report_20241004

Strength across the board, only 25bp warranted in November

September cut on the table helps drive down yields

The FOMC left the door ajar for a possible September rate cut, while avoiding any firm commitments. The tone of the statement as well as Chair Jerome Powell’s

BofA_FX Viewpoint FX flows & positioning in Q3_20241009

Market overview: Hedge Fund USD selling vs. EM FXBofA investors ended Q3 slightly long USD, neutral rest of G10 FX, and marginally short

June US CPI Inflation preview: Further progress

CPI to increase Fed’s confidence on disinflationWe expect the June CPI report to be another confidence builder following the undeniably good May report. We forecast headline CPI rose by 0.1% m/m (0.11% unrounded) owing

European Morning Credit Today in European Credit

Bank of Ireland (BKIR): Fitch revised the outlook on Bank of Ireland to positive from stable, affirming the holdco’s rating at BBB+ (A3(+)/BBB elsewhere). The agency sees a

Thoughts ahead of June quarter-end earnings

Hockey sticks get iced; volume recovery less robustMost companies across our consumer staples coverage universe began the year expecting volumes to improve while pricing fades as a building block to organic sales

Buy France

The sharp underperformance of the French stock market on its recent political events is irrational, given the CAC 40’s limited exposure to French domestic economics and politics.

The US consumer-should we be worried?

Consumer is moderating, not pulling back, The US consumer is and has been theengine behind economic growth. As rates stay higher for longer, the strength of theUS consumer is coming into

Summer Stalemates

A Surprise in France: We assessed market impacts after the French legislative electionsdelivered a hung Parliament, with the left coalition unexpectedly coming first, followed by the