海外研报

Global Data Watch: Asia China: Two policy meetings in July

The swing of cyclical policy reactions aftects business cycle fluctuations. A shiftto an accommodative policy stance in 2l23 led to activity recovery in 2H23 and1024, but the fading

June US CPI Inflation preview: Further progress

CPI to increase Fed’s confidence on disinflationWe expect the June CPI report to be another confidence builder following the undeniably good May report. We forecast headline CPI rose by 0.1% m/m (0.11% unrounded) owing

Global Fixed Income Technical Update

The 5s/30s curve extends the breakout steepening to the 29.5bp Jan 78.6% retrace and 30bp Apr-Jun range measured move objective. Multi-year base

Americas Construction: Building Products: AHAM Read-Throughs

2Q24 T-6 Volumes Up 2% YOY: This compares to a 6% decrease in 1Q and flat ayear ago. We note shipments improved through the quarter against easing

Half-time calm

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Five TD Sequential signals to know for Q3

Summary: Market timing with TD SequentialOn Thursday July 18th at 12pm NY / 5pm London time we will host a conference call

Deconstructing the recent rally – and what’s next

Greater confidence in rate cuts? Check. Now: EPS in focusFollowing last week’s inflation data, small caps saw the biggest four-day rally since

ECB—Holds Rate and Emphasises Data-Dependence

BOTTOM LINE: The Governing Council left all policy parameters and the formalguidance unchanged, as widely expected. During the press conference, President

Macro at a Glance: Latest views and forecasts

Globally, we expect real GDP growth of 2.7% yoy in 2024, reflecting tailwindsfrom real household income growth, a gradual recovery in manufacturing activity,

Nomura Quant Insights

Risk of a downside attack on the Nikkei 225 by systematic investorsSemiconductor stocks worldwide took a beating yesterday. It looks as though worries over