海外研报
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Quarterly FX revisions
We have undertaken our quarterly FX revisions using the Bloomberg forwardcurve for the new quarter. Forecasts for F Y24 were left largely unchanged, exceptfor CSL where we
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Machine Learning Based Trade Recommendations
The CARV model continues the short vol bias in Fixed Income and Credit,while shifting to a long vol bias for most Commodities, led by WTl andprecious metals. In Equities, NlFTY had
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Summer Stalemates
A Surprise in France: We assessed market impacts after the French legislative electionsdelivered a hung Parliament, with the left coalition unexpectedly coming first, followed by the
海外研报
2024年07月16日
China: Not Quite the QE You Expect
The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) has been trying to cap a record-breaking rally in the bond market. Unfavourable rate differentials add to yuan
海外研报
2024年07月12日
Into the Second Round
With the second-round French election on 7 July, we discuss key election-related developments in the days following first-round
海外研报
2024年07月08日
Assessing France’s Indecisive Election
Everything must change, so that everything can stay the same. Anatole used this aphorism from the great novel of Italian reunification, The Leopard, to
海外研报
2024年07月09日
Weaker Dollar with Softer US CPI
The Dollar weakened sharply, US yields came off, while JPY strengthened significantlyon the back of a softer than expected CPI print, together with suspected FX intervention
海外研报
2024年07月15日
Tesla delays Robotaxi unveil to October, reportedly to develop more prototypes
Prior unveil was set for August 8th, which we believe was likelyan arbitrary date. While delay possibly signals progress on a
海外研报
2024年07月15日
Thailand – Headwinds to potential growth
Economic data was mixed in the region this week. In China, weaker-than-expected inflation prints in June underscored the still-weak demand momentum. Meanwhile, in
海外研报
2024年07月15日
