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2H keeps winning after a positive 1H
SPX is stronger in 2H after a positive 1HThe S&P 500 (SPX) rallied 14.48% in the first half (1H) of 2024, which is the 16th best 1H return for all years going back to 1928. When the SPX rallies over the first six months
海外研报
2024年07月04日
Global Fixed Income Markets Weekly
Overview: DM central banks showed further progress towards starting or continuing to reduce current monetary policy restriction this week given the
海外研报
2024年07月19日
Global Rates Notes: Sufficient Liquidity, Constrained Capacity
n Treasury repo rates remain broadly anchored, but more sustained pressure sincequarter-end suggests a shift in dynamics. n A range of factors point to pressure arising from constraints on capacity to
海外研报
2024年07月19日
Global Rates Trader Front-end tipping point
Stars align for Fed cuts, tailwind for G10 front-end flatteners. Six months agothe US rates market embedded nearly 175bp of cuts for the year and the prospect of
海外研报
2024年07月19日
Cross Asset Strategy Spotlight on Inflation
The strong rally in markets during November and December 2023 was attributable to the emergence of the immaculate disinflation thesis. This
海外研报
2024年07月19日
Global equities gained 0.1%; Japan outperformed
Macro data this weekUS: The ISM manufacturing index on Monday, the JOLTS jobopenings report on Tuesday, and the employment report on
海外研报
2024年07月04日
Global Macro Insight 17 July 2024
Door opening to Fed rate cuts, September eyed• The door is opening for the Fed to begin cutting rates soon, which we expect to start in September (25bp). Q2 inflation data indicate disinflation
海外研报
2024年07月19日
The rotation has yet to reach CCCs
Cuts are unlikely to flatten IG curvesn USD IG spread curves have remained remarkably stable this year.n A transitory downstream flow effect of Fed cuts on front-end spreads is possible
海外研报
2024年07月19日
GS DOT budget tracker points to slowing state infrastructure spending plans in 2026+
As part of our GS US Infrastructure toolkit, we conducted our annual update ofall 50 US state transportation budgets, which revealed:
海外研报
2024年07月19日
US MARKET INTELLIGENCE:MORNING BRIEFING
SPX +0.2%, NDX +0.4%,RTY -0.2%.WTl Obps at $82.85, NatGas +10bps to $2.04, UKNatGas +111bps to £0.7459, Gold +32bps to $2,467, Silver +73bps to $30.52,10Y @4.185%and VIX @ 14.44.
海外研报
2024年07月19日
