海外研报
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Global Economic Weekly Bridging the gaps
Global Letter: Bridging the gapsWith markets now pricing more than two Fed cuts this year, and while acknowledging
海外研报
2024年07月20日
Global Rates Trader Policy Path Dependent
While US election risk is an inescapable focus in rates market discussions, the lastmonth has revealed the difficulty building clear momentum in trading the eventual
海外研报
2024年07月20日
INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE:MORNING BRIEFING
OVERNIGHT BRIEFUS/EU trade: European Equities closed lower (SXXP -0.5%, $X5E -1.2%, V2X +0.7pts) with AEX(-1.8%) and UKX (0.3%) the best and worst regions. Tech (-4.5%, -3.6z) fell mostly because ofSemis
海外研报
2024年07月20日
Portfolio Hedging Toolkit (Jul-2024) Buy Semis ETF (SMH) puts
Semis stocks have rallied significantly since the start of 2023 (SMH +154%),mainly driven by AI-related optimism. Our semis analyst Toshiya Hari believes
海外研报
2024年07月20日
IS TRUMP UNSTOPPABLE?
With markets pricing in surging odds of a Trump win (~67%) and a rising Republican sweep of Congress, a top investor question today is: What, if anything, could thwart a red wave ahead?
海外研报
2024年07月18日
As they extend & pretend, we defend
The RIC OutlookUS households have a record $18.3tn in cash, +40% since ‘19. Cash is already a drag net of taxes, inflation, and Fed cuts. Where’s an asset allocator to go? We favor credit for the
海外研报
2024年07月18日
Americas Energy: Oil: Majors & Refiners: Refreshing Select Estimates (VLO, MEG.TO)
We update forecasts for MEG.TO and VLO to reflect recent commodity prices forCanada oil and refining indicator margins for Valero. Our price target is unchanged for
海外研报
2024年07月19日
ChinaPulse: Q2’s 4.7%yoy growth shows the need for government to step up policy support
growth rate in the same period implied a -0.7%yoy GDP deflator for Q2. The growth deceleration was largely due to weakened support from service industry,
海外研报
2024年07月19日
Asia-Pacific Portfolio Strategy: Asian equity market daily update
The MXAPJ Index was flat today. Indonesia and India markets outperformed, whileThailand and Australia markets underperformed. Within MXAPJ sectors, Materialsand Real Estate led while Cons Disc and Health Care lagged. MSCI Japan rose 0.5%today.
海外研报
2024年07月04日
MACRO TRENDS CHARTBOOOK
With nominal growth in the major global economies not only slowing down to below 20y average (4.9% yoyin Q1-24 or -0.3z) but also with a more compressed distribution than in the pre-Covid period, monetary
海外研报
2024年07月15日