海外研报

More data please, July edition

Monetary Policy | Still waiting for more data: The ECB will keep rates on hold in July. From its perspective, more data is needed to confirm the assumed (and

Breaking the Rules

It’s a general rule that you should avoid saying “This time is different.” So far, though, I have broken that rule in this cycle, because so much of what we are seeing

Emerging Markets Asia: June 2024

Asia ex-China’s net portfolio inflows rose to USD10.9bn in June 2024 from USD7.5bn in May. Lower inflation numbers in the US kept the hope of Fed

American Themes

The market’s perception of Brazil’s fiscal outlook has worsened in recent months after the government proposed a diluted fiscal consolidation plan for 2025-2028 in its draft Budgetary Directives Law in mid-April.

Supply and Cash Flow Monitors

Risk analysis may be conducted at the financial instruments level. Among the information normally used to define the risks, are (1) publications produced

Never (OK, rarely) short a dull market

Two studies, one conclusionThe challenge with studies on prolonged stretches like the chart on page 1 is that

"Front républicain" prevents RN majority. What's next?

The dropping out of a large number of candidatesfrom the second round of the legislative electionand another high voter turnout (more than 67%)