海外研报

US Macro Weekly--Jobs report in the spotlight

Week ahead A busy week will be highlighted by the June employment report, releasedfollowing a mid-week break for the July 4th holiday. Also on deck areboth ISMs, JOLTS job openings, and the minutes from the June FOMC,

TIME TO TURN ATTENTION TO MANAGING THE FED BALANCE SHEET

The headline coming out of this week’s FOMC meeting will be the signal that funds ratecutting begins in September, with the usual caveats. Probably not reported but still very

Is Gold A Good Place To Hide?

Despite the recent market rout, gold's performance has maintained its leadership position. Global equities arup 7.5% in 2024YTD, global bonds are up 2.6% over the same period while gold prices have rallied by a soli17%. Given our high conviction

Should You Buy The Dip?

e First rate cut: Equities correct after the first rate cut, even if it were to stave off recession.

Global Rates Notes: NOK Curve to Steepen vs SEK

n In recent months, the SEK curve has steepened vs G10 peers, and in particularvs NOK. This 2s10s steepening has occurred despite Swedish 10y rates falling vs

AUD mid-year update: bullish but China & positioning cap upside

AUD: rates tailwind… We continue to see the AUD gradually higher over the next few quarters (year-end ’24 forecast: 0.69/ year-end ’25: 0.72) but near-term upside is likely to be capped by the

Five Stocks in Focus: HP, NESTE, PBF, CRK, and XOM

In this note, we highlight five stocks that are top of mind in investor conversations.(1) For HP (Sell), we discuss our updated US rig count forecasts, driving lower

Global Portfolio Manager's Digest So Long, Summer

We provide context and perspective on research across regionsand asset classes, this week highlighting our all-encompassing