海外研报

Global Data Watch

industry PMI and US employment report—and overall, they send a constructive signal bolstering soft-landing hope. The June PMI unwound much of its May

DMP: En Route to August

The june iteration of the Decision Maker Panel survey supports our call for anAugust cut. Wage expectations and perceived pricing power are softening, andrealised inflation took a decent step lower in

Sunday Start | What's Next in Global Macro Labour at Dawn

The incoming Labour government will inherit a UK economy that, by many measures, has underperformed sharply. Since 2010, the UK has grown ~10% less

FX View AUD/JPY is back in fashion

The two most-watched US economic surprise indices, published by Bloomberg and Citi, are showing a steady downward trend – i.e., a lot of negative surprises in the data. This clearly affects

Asia-Pacific Portfolio Strategy: Asian equity market daily update

The MXAPJ Index was flat today. Taiwan and Philippines markets outperformed,while Hong Kong and China markets underperformed. Within MXAPJ sectors, Info

Global Macro Watch Known Unknowns 7 – 12 July

US CPI should be another confidence builderWe expect the June CPI report to be another confidence builder following the undeniably

Asia-Pacific Weekly Kickstart

equities have underperformed the global index since2011. The key factor explaining the region’s

JPY – thoughts on suspected MoF intervention

The Japanese government may have intervened in the FX market to shore up JPY again after the release of the US June CPI print on Jul 11 and possibly again in the Tokyo

30yr yields show muni investors’ bull market conviction

Market has entered an election mode and corrected an unwelcome May/June 2s10s Treasury flattening. Benign June CPI report added support to an ongoing bullish trend

China commodity trade data: June 2024

China’s commodity imports were broadly higher despite the weak macroeconomic outlook. Restocking remained a feature amid energy security