海外研报

Commodity mid-year 2024 outlook

Global commodities: With global economic growth cooling (not collapsing), we believe the leg lower on commodities since mid-May is only temporary. To put this

China: June money and credit data below expectations

June’s money and credit data all came in below expectations. The total socialfinancing (TSF) flows fell notably from May to June, primarily on slowed government

Trump shooting, China Q2 GDP to sway market mood

Market HighlightsThe US dollar fell 1.7% this month, respecting seasonality pattern, which has been reinforced by more dovish market expectations for Fed rate cuts. Markets are now

The US consumer-should we be worried?

Consumer is moderating, not pulling back, The US consumer is and has been theengine behind economic growth. As rates stay higher for longer, the strength of theUS consumer is coming into

Asia-Pacific Portfolio Strategy: Asian equity market daily update

The MXAPJ Index rose 1.3% today. Hong Kong and Taiwan markets outperformed,while India and Singapore markets underperformed. Within MXAPJ sectors, Info

Sticky inflation is coming unglued

The June CPI report was very benign. The headline figure fell 0.06% (expected up0.1%) and the core figure was up only 0.06% (expected up 0.2%). Within the corecomponent,the long-awaited slowing in both tenants’and owners’ equivalentrental inflation took

Europe Non Research Other

All about the US inflation print this alernoon and i willtake my lead from there. The market feels as though it wanls to embrace alower USD and if the print is sot (rounding will also be important today)

What will the pound do, this summer?

On a quiet day for markets, the RBNZ announced a ‘dovish hold’ with rates staying at 5.5% while the central bank’s guidance implied that it is only a matter of time before they are cut. Read

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Despite a less benign start of the year, confidence on the disinflation theme has been restored after the last few prints came in soft. For today, consensus is for a 0.1%MoM increase in headline and a 0.2%MoM increase

Top 25 Tactical Trades for Earnings Season

We believe 2024 will be remembered as the “Year of the Stock Picker”. Indexoptions and daily SPX volatility have been dampened by systematic volatility