海外研报

Argentina: Impressive disinflation, with side-effects

Argentina: Impressive disinflation with side-effectsArgentina inflation is dropping much faster than expected, from 25% in December (13%

DB CoTD: It's patently obvious...

A reminder that we publish a weekly AI newsletter looking at all the rapidly evolving news flow in the field. This week’s edition is just out here and looks at how OpenAI

DB CoTD: The Kuiper Belt..

The 2024 Institutional Investor (II) Fixed Income Analyst survey is now open. If you’ve appreciated our work over the last year, it would mean a lot to us if you’d be

Another month of soft retail spending

Retail sales probably declined in JuneTotal card spending per household (HH), as measured by BAC aggregated credit and debit cards, was down 0.5% year-over-year (y/y) in June. Card spending per HH was

Surprise MET Increase for Uranium in Kazakhstan

New MET Rates from 2025: The Government in Kazakhstan has introduced a new Mineral Extraction Tax (MET) for uranium, replacing the existing 6% flat rate MET

Germany CAI Continues to Underperform Rest of Europe in June

Please find an update of our proprietary global economic indicators below. The databehind these exhibits can be downloaded here. Interactive charts can be found onour living page here.

PBOC shifting to short-term rates

Markets seemed calmer and took the French Election results in their stride, even asit’s unclear which coalition in France if any can be mustered to form a government.

Macro Credit Views: Trust in carry (Karoui)

Carry remains our baseline view. Valuation constraints continue to loom large inmost segments of credit markets, greatly limiting the scope for upside convexity

Forecast update: Softer macro data call for caution

Growth in the US has moderated further in recent weeks. After a 1.4% annualised rate in Q1, the Atlanta Fed GDP tracker indicates the economy expanded by an annualised 1.5%