海外研报

BANK OF JAPAN (FINALLY) GETS BOLDER

Today, the Bank decided (by a 7-2 majority vote) to raise the overnight call rate by 15bps to 0.25% and(unanimously) to roughly halve its monthly JGB purchases to around 3 trillion yen by 2026 Q1 via cuts of “about

Overview – Retail Trading

For the latest data, including intraday updates, visit Investable AI/Data Analytics. • Since our Monday update, retail traders have reverted back to net buying

Interest Rates Trade Idea-Close: long TIPS 5Y breakevens

On 20 June, we recommended being long TIPS 5Y breakevens (BEs), as theylooked cheap to oil prices and nominal Treasury yield. At around 2.21% on

US Treasury futures: calendar rolls outlook, September-December 2024

RecommendationsTU – Mildly bearish. Positioning is bearish due to record-high asset manager net positioning in the sector. TU roll will likely be sensitive to risk events and front-end moves, including a

The Powell of the Powerless-Global Daily

The Fed Chair’s dovish Jackson Hole speech was analysed pithily by our Fed watcher Philip Marey: “Regarding the Fed’s initial diagnosis that inflation was “transitory”, Powell tried to hide

more cautious land banking pace amidst weakened cash collection

COLI’s 1H24 core profit (net profit excluding revaluation gain/loss and FX impact)declined by 23% yoy (below -12% yoy in prior FY24 GSe) to Rmb10.6bn, as inline

MS - Friday Finish - It s Friday ... and you still have a job

The nonfarm payrolls report could easily be the single most consequential data print for the year … and yet it was not as definitive as it could have been. The

SocGen - On Our Minds - Bank Indonesia - Rate cut coming to town

Following a surprise hike in April, when currency and bond yields succumbed to rising risk-off pressure due to the then hawkish stance of the Fed, we now anticipate that Bank

Taboo--Global Daily Market comments

This week we learned how (not) to say you believe you may be behind the curve without saying you are behind the curve, like a bad game of Taboo. Markets continued to celebrate the outsized

GS--Oil on the boil - more reflationary momentum across assets

Last week tensions in the Middle East triggered a large