海外研报

FX OutlookYen-maggedon

De-risking of crowded positions is different from amacro shock. There is not much evidence of the latterin recent strong dataflow, and recession models contin-ue to hover in benign territory.

Situation Room July FOMC: Yes man

The biggest takeaway from the July FOMC was that chair Powell largely agreed with market pricing for a September cut (Exhibit 1), assuming no big surprises on inflation.

Indonesia: Steady growth beat, pockets of vulnerability

• The Indonesian economy expanded 5.05% yoy in 2Q24, similar to quarter