海外研报

Preview: have your hike and eat it too

We now expect the ECB to hike its rates by 75bp at its September meeting. Despite our natural dovishness, we have been pencilling in this

UK: June Inflation—One Tenth Upside Surprise on Headline, Core, and Services

BOTTOM LINE: The June inflation numbers saw a one tenth upside surprise onheadline, core, and services inflation. Within services, the upside surprise relative to

Path to goldilocks: Own cyclicals

Economics: Inflation box ticked, focus shifts to growthLast week, inflation ticked another box for the Fed. Headline inflation missed by 4.2

dragged down by global cyclicals and financials amid significant foreign outflows

Performance: MSCI/All Taiwan -5.3%/-4.2% this week,underperforming MXAPJ by -2.4% (in US$), dragged by

Asia Fund Manager Survey

Occasional gains in a general trend of lossesChina weighed down the region, as sentiment soured yet again going into the Third

Interest Rates Daily

Summer season means more time to dig into our methodology and hone our tools. With 2026 now on the monetary policy horizon (around 18 months from now), we