海外研报
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New Monetary Framework: more hawkish than you think
The ECB’s new monetary framework is set to take effect on18 September, and yet nothing will really change. The only effective
海外研报
2024年07月23日
USD: feeling green
The USD outlook has taken a turn for the worse of late on the back of: (1) growing market expectation that the Fed easing cycle could start as
海外研报
2024年07月23日
Emerging Market Focus
The economic growth slowdown in Q2 turned out to be more significant than expected, with a notable deceleration in retail sales and continued
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2024年07月16日
DeskTalk - Macro whispers of Trump 2.0 trades
US Treasuries are opening lower after a holiday in Tokyo. 2s10s curve is bull steepening though the move is likelyto be contained ahead of Fed Chair Powell's interview today. That said, our rates strategists think momentum, weak
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2024年07月16日
SAUDI KEY TO TRUMP OIL TRADE
Talk of ‘Trump trades’ has become more fashionable than ever since last weekend’s failed assassination attempt on the Republican nominee – but most such talk is inconclusive. The
海外研报
2024年07月22日
Despite the Heat, the Animal Spirits are Cooling Off
Stormy Spirits Ahead?Our Animal Spirits Index (ASI) fell in June to 0.53 from 0.88 in May but has remained positive in all six months of 2024 (chart). Previous reports detail the index's methodology, but on a basic level, an
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2024年07月22日
The Impact of Trade Policy Uncertainty on Capex Beneficiaries
The US presidential election is re-shaping the Europeanequity market. While markets have just started to fadeEuropean political risk, the US presidential election on
海外研报
2024年07月22日
Sizing the Very Uncertain Increase in Trade Policy Uncertainty (Briggs/Pierdomenico)
US Presidential candidate Donald Trump has signaled that he will likelyimplement significant tariffs if elected, raising risks that a sharp increase in trade
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2024年07月22日
Global Rates Trader Policy Path Dependent
While US election risk is an inescapable focus in rates market discussions, the lastmonth has revealed the difficulty building clear momentum in trading the eventualoutcome.
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2024年07月22日
Healthcare Pulse: Shifts Now Afoot... Investor sentiment
The title of our last weekly, “Strap-In” was a grossunderstatement for the epic momentum reversal thatensued this week
海外研报
2024年07月22日
