海外研报

China: weaker consumption looms over GDP recovery

The weak Q2 GDP (4.7% y/y) suggests the official target of 5% for 2024 is not a done deal. As H2 2023 constituted 53% of the annual GDP in 2023,

Global Views: Why Wait?

1. The US core CPI increase of just 0.06% in June confirms that the Q1 pickup wasan outlier, in part because of residual seasonality. Based on CPI and PPI but pending

Healthcare Pulse: Strap-In... Investor sentiment; market color; sector themes; charts to watch

We’re now headed into what could be a volatile tradingperiod in the weeks ahead marked by a confluence of

Equity Strategy

While the S&P500 was powered again this year by Mag-7, the cqual weightedindex -SPW, is up a more modest 6%, having peaked in March., Likewise,SXSE has also peaked in March - top chart. Indeed, the historical spreadbetween the performance ofS&P500

Supply chain stresses coming back: Container freight rates at over half of Covid peaks

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USA: UMichigan Sentiment and Inflation Expectations Edge Down in Preliminary July Report

BOTTOM LINE: The University of Michigan’s index of consumer sentiment declinedin the July preliminary report, below consensus expectations for a slight increase.

Weekend Cross-Asset Dislocations (20-Jul-2024)

remains lower than we would expect in the context of the economic environmentand options prices show that investors are not overly concerned about a

Economics Focus

On Sunday at 20:00 CET, we should have a broad idea of the make-up of the National Assembly. At around 22:00 CET, we will likely have a fairly clear view on the final make-up.

Click “here” to listen to the Europe Morning Call.

Transport Chartbook – thoughts on shipping S/D – Global trade growth remainedstrong in 2Q with air freight up +10% yoy and container +6%. This is driven by a