海外研报
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The Pulse of the Market Thoughts on Sentiment, Earnings, Rotation, and the US Election
In a NutshellThe big things you need to know: First, investor sentiment has gotten as extreme as it did last August and this past March.
海外研报
2024年07月23日
FOMC – Six questions
Two 2024 cuts versus three? Our baseline remains two Fed cuts in H2, one in September and one in Q4. The market is divided on pricing and so are we to some
海外研报
2024年07月23日
The Macro Blog - Yen -A better Bank of Japan timing?
Last week's intraday price action in the USD/JPY suggests that the Bank of Japan may have intervened in the FX market onceagain to counteract yen weakness. While it is too early to determine the ultimate impact, the current market conditions
海外研报
2024年07月23日
Endorses Vice President Harris; Democrats’ Odds of Winning the White House Edge Up Slightly
BOTTOM LINE: President Joe Biden exited the 2024 presidential race today (July21) and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris. Harris’ prediction market-implied
海外研报
2024年07月23日
Global Hedge Fund Industry Monthly Update
Green, with a dash of red: Most HF strategies generated positive returns for June.1 Quant Equity was the best performing strategy at 2.6%, followed by Discretionary Macro at 0.8%, then Multi-Strategy at 0.8%.
海外研报
2024年07月18日
Yen has room to rally further if CTAs are stopped out
Could CTAs provide the next push lower for USDJPY?In the moments after Thursday’s US CPI print was released, USDJPY declined more than 2% on suspected FX intervention from Japan’s Ministry of Finance. Heading into this
海外研报
2024年07月16日
Americas Energy: Oil: Majors & Refiners: Refreshing Select Estimates (VLO, MEG.TO)
We update forecasts for MEG.TO and VLO to reflect recent commodity prices forCanada oil and refining indicator margins for Valero. Our price target is unchanged for
海外研报
2024年07月19日
ChinaPulse: Q2’s 4.7%yoy growth shows the need for government to step up policy support
growth rate in the same period implied a -0.7%yoy GDP deflator for Q2. The growth deceleration was largely due to weakened support from service industry,
海外研报
2024年07月19日
Asia-Pacific Portfolio Strategy: Asian equity market daily update
The MXAPJ Index was flat today. Indonesia and India markets outperformed, whileThailand and Australia markets underperformed. Within MXAPJ sectors, Materialsand Real Estate led while Cons Disc and Health Care lagged. MSCI Japan rose 0.5%today.
海外研报
2024年07月04日
MACRO TRENDS CHARTBOOOK
With nominal growth in the major global economies not only slowing down to below 20y average (4.9% yoyin Q1-24 or -0.3z) but also with a more compressed distribution than in the pre-Covid period, monetary
海外研报
2024年07月15日
