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Global Rates Notes: Sufficient Liquidity, Constrained Capacity

n Treasury repo rates remain broadly anchored, but more sustained pressure sincequarter-end suggests a shift in dynamics. n A range of factors point to pressure arising from constraints on capacity to
海外研报

Global Rates Trader Front-end tipping point

Stars align for Fed cuts, tailwind for G10 front-end flatteners. Six months agothe US rates market embedded nearly 175bp of cuts for the year and the prospect of
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Cross Asset Strategy Spotlight on Inflation

The strong rally in markets during November and December 2023 was attributable to the emergence of the immaculate disinflation thesis. This
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Global equities gained 0.1%; Japan outperformed

Macro data this weekUS: The ISM manufacturing index on Monday, the JOLTS jobopenings report on Tuesday, and the employment report on
海外研报

European Morning Research Summary

This summary is compiled from research reports previously published by Barclays Equity Research. A full list of all publications is available on
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Liquid Insight G10 growth convergence and FX

Key takeaways• Q4-to-Q4 consensus GDP forecasts see US growth converging lower to G10. USD has +55% corr to US-World growth diff since 1974.
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2H keeps winning after a positive 1H

SPX is stronger in 2H after a positive 1HThe S&P 500 (SPX) rallied 14.48% in the first half (1H) of 2024, which is the 16th best 1H return for all years going back to 1928. When the SPX rallies over the first six months
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Global Fixed Income Markets Weekly

• Summary performance statistics for trades closed in 2022-2024• Covering Europe, UK, Scandinavia, Japan and Australia/New Zealand trades
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Asia Open - Mind the unwind, from USDJPY to US stocks

Consensus trades took a hit Wednesday, as seen by the sell-off in USDJPY (-1.3%) and Nasdaq (-2.5%). A combination of
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China: O&A on the third plenum

WVhy is the third plenum getting so muchmnarKetatentlolThe Chinese economy is facing myriad headwinds. Some are cyclical, some are deep-seated structural problemswhich can only be addressed by structural reforms.
海外研报