海外研报
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Forecast update: Softer macro data call for caution
Growth in the US has moderated further in recent weeks. After a 1.4% annualised rate in Q1, the Atlanta Fed GDP tracker indicates the economy expanded by an annualised 1.5%
海外研报
2024年07月16日
Quarterly FX revisions
We have undertaken our quarterly FX revisions using the Bloomberg forwardcurve for the new quarter. Forecasts for F Y24 were left largely unchanged, exceptfor CSL where we
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Machine Learning Based Trade Recommendations
The CARV model continues the short vol bias in Fixed Income and Credit,while shifting to a long vol bias for most Commodities, led by WTl andprecious metals. In Equities, NlFTY had
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Monthly aircraft delivery tracker: June looking better sequentially
Our aircraft delivery tracker, based on Planespotters data, suggests Boeing istracking to 43 deliveries for June, including 34 737 MAX, 3 787s and 6 other. Of the34 MAX deliveries we estimate 26 were new production deliveries,
海外研报
2024年07月05日
2024 Mid-Year Global Economic Outlook
H24 outcomes have aligned with our top-down views. Global growth hascooled to a still solid 2.4%ar and is less dependent on a US demand engineNotably, the Western Europe recovery
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Atradius 经济展望 软着陆
预计 2024 年全球增长率为 2.6% ， 与 12 月经济展望相比上调 0.5% 。由于更强劲的需求前景和更高的移民 ， 美国经济的韧性突出。 2025 年增长可能会略有改善 ， 达到 2.8％ ， 随着通胀持续下降 ， 购买力也会有所改善。
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Where are the conveXintlection/pain points in global markets?
Option delta hedging: a price movement amplifierDerivative trading can (significantly) impact asset prices via feedback effects of deltahedging strategies followed by option
海外研报
2024年07月05日
2024 Mid-year outlook
We expect Treasury yields to remain rangebound through the summer, with a declinefrom current levels expected later this year only once the Fed begins easingYields tend to
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Employment Report Preview: Slower job growth
June payrolls slow to 210k because of softening demand for and supply of labor. We forecast no change in the unemployment rate at 4.0%; if weaker demand dominates, unemployment
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Macro Credit Views: Trust in carry (Karoui)
Carry remains our baseline view. Valuation constraints continue to loom large inmost segments of credit markets, greatly limiting the scope for upside convexity
海外研报
2024年07月19日
