海外研报

EM Equities and US tariff risks: The usual suspects

Company revenue exposures may understate sensitivity...Based on theannual CY2023 revenue breakdown of about 1400 MSCI EM companies, we

Summer Break

n GBP: Stay long vs USD. The tactical backdrop looks increasingly friendly for riskand negative for the Dollar with further signs of a benign slowdown in US

The Yen’s Mysterious Weakness — A Search for Answers (Fishman/Kanter)

The strikingly close relationship between USD/JPY and real rate differentials overthe past few years has come into question in recent weeks. While there havebeen prior periods of dislocation, none have looked as persistent and prominent

June US CPI Inflation preview: Further progress

CPI to increase Fed’s confidence on disinflationWe expect the June CPI report to be another confidence builder following the undeniably good May report. We forecast headline CPI rose by 0.1% m/m (0.11% unrounded) owing

Global Fixed Income Technical Update

The 5s/30s curve extends the breakout steepening to the 29.5bp Jan 78.6% retrace and 30bp Apr-Jun range measured move objective. Multi-year base

Americas Construction: Building Products: AHAM Read-Throughs

2Q24 T-6 Volumes Up 2% YOY: This compares to a 6% decrease in 1Q and flat ayear ago. We note shipments improved through the quarter against easing

Half-time calm

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