海外研报

Weekly Wrap & Catalyst Calendar

Weekly Research Wrap• Alts: Learnings from Earnings: Read-Throughs from the Banks, 7/17/24. We track commentaryon M&A, IPOs and other capital markets activity, all of which are important for the alts. The

US Weekly Kickstart

Prediction market odds have shifted sharply in favor of a Trump re-election this November and now stand at roughly 60% compared with 40%-50%

Quarterly Market Review

The economic momentum of the first quarter of 2024 continued into the second, and the last three months were another positive period for equity markets. Initially, investors aggressively

Global Asset Allocation Views

The data reaffirm our base case view of moderating growth and cooling inflation.• This environment supports a risk-on tilt in portfolios, with overweights to equity and credit.

China: Uncertain economic environment overshadows the party plenum

China’s GDP growth slowed down to 4.7% in Q2. Growth relies much onfixed asset investment in manufacturing and infrastructure while consumerconfidence remains low and the downturn in the housing market continues.

Global Economics Weekly

Slowing US inflation now makes Fed cuts in both Septemberand December likely. Inflation dynamics are less clear in the UK

Strong Quarter Highlights Future Growth Trajectory

Summary: While 2Q op EPS of $1.69 missed the Street's $1.71 estimate and our $1.76, PPNRbeat on accelerating growth, with all of the miss from higher provision due to outsized loan