海外研报
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Global Economic Weekly Bridging the gaps
Global Letter: Bridging the gapsWith markets now pricing more than two Fed cuts this year, and while acknowledging
海外研报
2024年07月20日
Global Rates Trader Policy Path Dependent
While US election risk is an inescapable focus in rates market discussions, the lastmonth has revealed the difficulty building clear momentum in trading the eventual
海外研报
2024年07月20日
INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE:MORNING BRIEFING
OVERNIGHT BRIEFUS/EU trade: European Equities closed lower (SXXP -0.5%, $X5E -1.2%, V2X +0.7pts) with AEX(-1.8%) and UKX (0.3%) the best and worst regions. Tech (-4.5%, -3.6z) fell mostly because ofSemis
海外研报
2024年07月20日
Portfolio Hedging Toolkit (Jul-2024) Buy Semis ETF (SMH) puts
Semis stocks have rallied significantly since the start of 2023 (SMH +154%),mainly driven by AI-related optimism. Our semis analyst Toshiya Hari believes
海外研报
2024年07月20日
IS TRUMP UNSTOPPABLE?
With markets pricing in surging odds of a Trump win (~67%) and a rising Republican sweep of Congress, a top investor question today is: What, if anything, could thwart a red wave ahead?
海外研报
2024年07月18日
As they extend & pretend, we defend
The RIC OutlookUS households have a record $18.3tn in cash, +40% since ‘19. Cash is already a drag net of taxes, inflation, and Fed cuts. Where’s an asset allocator to go? We favor credit for the
海外研报
2024年07月18日
China: weaker consumption looms over GDP recovery
The weak Q2 GDP (4.7% y/y) suggests the official target of 5% for 2024 is not a done deal. As H2 2023 constituted 53% of the annual GDP in 2023,
海外研报
2024年07月16日
Global Views: Why Wait?
1. The US core CPI increase of just 0.06% in June confirms that the Q1 pickup wasan outlier, in part because of residual seasonality. Based on CPI and PPI but pending
海外研报
2024年07月16日
