海外研报

Risk-reward still more favorable for cyclicals

Economics: The economy continues to defy its skepticsLast week, 2Q GDP surprised to the upside, signaling that even if the economy has slowed, it is still meeting its potential. This week, the focus will likely be on the Fed and

Global Markets Daily: US HY Is an Imperfect Election Instrument (Rogers)

While the ongoing market correction has taken center stage in recent sessions,the policy implications of the US elections remain a key topic among investors.

Europe Weekly Kickstart Deep summertime blues

Global equities stand 6% below their mid-July peak.Most equity markets saw a correction, triggered by weaker

GLOBAL | Quantitative Strategy-Global Quant Strategy: Rate Cut Playbook

The recent market turmoil is a clear message to the Fed that investors areprimed for rate cuts. With OECD leading indicator and earnings still strong,

"Wolf! Wolf! The wolf is chasing the sheep!"

Market pricing of end-2024 Fed Funds fell from 4.66% (67bp below the current level) before the July labour market data were released, to 3.85% just before the (stronger) ISM services data

GS EUROPEAN EXPRESS: Powering Up Europe

Powering Up Europe – inflecting demand – Earlier this year, we noted Europe couldsoon experience an inflection in power demand. We now point out something the

Long-end better value

For markets, the summer has come to a close and activity resumes with bond issuance picking up from a number of countries including some unusual very longend supply prospects. While small bond