海外研报

Maintaining our S&P 500 target of 5400, rotation is where the action is

Neutral on index, bullish on internalsOur market timing signals have downshifted from bullish to neutral. In mid 2023, sentiment was deeply negative and our toolkit suggested that the direction of economic

Global Markets Daily: The Path for US Rates from Here (Marshall/Zu)

The US front-end incorporates significant downside risk to our expected Fedpath, while 10y yields sit about 30bp through our year-end forecasts. We see

All EM Asian markets saw foreign selling this week, led by A-shares and

EM Asian region saw selling (-US$6.5bn) across marketsthis week, led by A-shares (-US$2.1bn) and Taiwan

Japan: accommodative monetary policy to continue under the new prime minister

The failure to stop the BoJ from forcing rate hikes that led to global market turmoil further weakened the political centripetal force of the

Fixed Income Special European futures rollover outlook Sep-24/Dec-24

The last trading date for Eurex June futures is 6 September and delivery is on 10 September. The first delivery date for Gilt June futures is 2 September. The rollover will gradually start on 27

Global Markets Daily: Elevated US Rates Volatility Likely to Persist Into Fed Cuts (Zu)

Implied volatility in US rates remains elevated despite the rapid normalization in nrisk asset vol following the spike at the start of the month. In today’s Daily, we

Intel considering strategic options -potential impact

Over the weekend, press articles indicated that Intel is exploring strategic optionsto turn around its business, including scrapping some factories, selling assets aswell as potentially splitting or spinning-ofits Foundry and product/design teams.In