海外研报

MONETARY POLICY MATTERS, BUT GROWTH MATTERS MORE

Macro Drivers: Despite the soft payroll numbers, a US recession remains unlikely ◼ Multi Asset: Fed cuts are only good for risk assets when a recession does not follow

Yen Carry And AI Bubble: One And The Same Trade

The analysis of price complexity strongly suggests that the ‘yen carry trade’ and the AI bubble are one and the same trade, premised on three conditions:

Volatility fire sale over with commodities wellpositioned for Fed rate cuts next month

Global commodities: Navigating commodities in micro and macro cross-currents juxtaposed against thin summer liquidity has been the key theme over recent weeks.

Global Economics Weekly Key Global Data

A summary of forthcoming data releases and market-moving