海外研报

Shifting neutral into the summer but we remain mildly pro-risk for 12m

Global growth slowed in Q2 but risky assets performed well, helped byexpectations for central bank easing and mega cap tech optimism. Our macro

Is the VlX spike a signal of wider credit spreadsahead?

A key debate last week was whether equities were sending a signal for creditThe massive spikes in cross-asset volatility in early August (e.g., 2, 4, 5 sigma moves in1Oyr USTs, IPYUSD, and VlX) have left investors actively

MS--Global Macro Strategist Super Size Me

August payroll weakness increased investor desire to see a 50bp rate cut in September without equally increasing investor

IDEA--It's About to Go Down

The first cut is now at hand. We expect the FOMC statement to reflect Chair Powell's view that unemployment is at equilibrium,