海外研报

US Strategy: Trading Politics

In November, US voters will decide who controls the White House, Senate and House of Representatives. With the race a

Cycle Playbook – Preparing for a Peak

Amid the excitement around AI, we must not lose sight of the cyclical nature of semiconductors and tech hardware. As we approach a cycle peak, we share our insights on navigating the transition.

FX Pulse

US ISM mfg on Tuesday, JOLTS job openings on Wednesday, ISM services on Thursday, NFP on Friday. Eurozone 2Q labour costs on Friday. BoC f/c to cut 25bp to 4.25% on Wednesday. Chile CB f/c -25bp on Tuesday, Poland status quo

GS--GS TMT TODAY 9.10.24 *CUMMUNACOPIA + TECH CONF DAY 2*

Futures lower in the pre (NDX -35bps / SPX -15bps) ahead this evening's

GD--THE OTHER THING I’M “FAMOUS” FOR

Maybe I talk about the “Perkins rule” too much, and like central banks I’m starting tobelieve my own BS.

GD--COOLING SERVICES INFLATION BRINGS BOE EASING CYCLE CLOSER

Disinflation gathered pace in September, clearing the path for a monetary easing cycle to kick in. Annual headline

Commodity_Tracker_unclear_road_ahead

Oil prices are volatile due to intensifying geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Global oil supply remains stable, but the