海外研报

June payrolls preview: The job market continues to hum along

Cooling but not coolWe forecast nonfarm payrolls rose by a solid 200k in June, a 72k decline from the 272k

GBP: mind the black hole

The GBP rally – which has come to define the G10 FX market so far this year –has lost momentum of late amidst returning risk aversion. The GBP has been

A hike, a hold and a cut

Central banks are in sharp focus this week. The Fed (Wed) has little upside to do anythingmore than hint that a September cut is on track. For the BoJ (Wed), we maintain our out-ofconsensus call for a 25bp

UK—July Inflation and June Labour Market Preview

BOTTOM LINE: We expect the upcoming July inflation print (scheduled for releaseon 14th August) to see services inflation decelerate to 5.48%, down from 5.74% in