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TOP OF THE AGENDA
SPX +1.1%, NDX +1.5%,RTY +1.7%.WTl-31bps at $78.40, NatGas +578bps to $2.25, UKNatGas -155bps to£0.7797,Gold -18bps to $2,397,Silver -34bps to $29.13, 10Y @ 4.253%, andVIX @ 14.91.
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2024年07月23日
Mexico: Firm Broad-Based May Sequential Real Activity Expansion (Ramos)
Bottom Line: Real activity recorded a 0.75% mom sa variation in May, firmer thanexpectations for a milder 0.55% mom sa increase and more than offsetting the April
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2024年07月23日
US Elections & the MexicoChina Bridge vs. Buffer Debate
Key TakeawaysChinese investment is a risk to Mexico's nearshoring narrative, not a means to achieve it. Mexico is acting as a China Buffer fending off Asian imports ~75%
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2024年07月23日
Weekly Warm-up: Does TheCycle Matter More Than TheElection Outcome?
Does the Cycle Matter More Than The Election Outcome? Like in 2016.2017, we are more focused on the cadence of the business cycle than on theoutcome of the election, While markets have been digesting the rising oddsof a Trump win, cyclical
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2024年07月23日
New Monetary Framework: more hawkish than you think
The ECB’s new monetary framework is set to take effect on18 September, and yet nothing will really change. The only effective
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2024年07月23日
Precious Analyst China’s Structurally Resilient Gold Demand
The gold price set a new all-time high of $2,483/toz on Wednesday (July 17) asexpected Fed cuts are poised to bring Western capital back into the gold market.
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2024年07月23日
The Pulse of the Market Thoughts on Sentiment, Earnings, Rotation, and the US Election
In a NutshellThe big things you need to know: First, investor sentiment has gotten as extreme as it did last August and this past March.
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2024年07月23日
FOMC – Six questions
Two 2024 cuts versus three? Our baseline remains two Fed cuts in H2, one in September and one in Q4. The market is divided on pricing and so are we to some
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2024年07月23日
The Macro Blog - Yen -A better Bank of Japan timing?
Last week's intraday price action in the USD/JPY suggests that the Bank of Japan may have intervened in the FX market onceagain to counteract yen weakness. While it is too early to determine the ultimate impact, the current market conditions
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2024年07月23日
Can Trump depreciate the USD?
Careful what you wish for, ‘cause you might get it in heapsThe most often asked question we encountered last week was whether a weak USD
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2024年07月23日
