海外研报

India budget: closer to the medium-term fiscal target

The Indian government chose a middle path by distributing its non-tax revenue bonanza into revenue spending and fiscal deficit reduction. The

Is the front end fairly priced?

Following the downside surprise in June CPI, along with benign readings for the relevant PPI components, the Fed’s preferred PCE inflation metric is likely to be

apan: rise in Nikkei due more to power of reflation than economic quality improvement

The ESG Macro Index, which represents the quality of the Japanese economy, improved to 0.81 in Q124 from 0.66 in Q423. The deteriorating

INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE:MORNING BRIEFING

OVERNIGHT BRIEFUS/EU trade: European Equities were mixed amid a somewhat choppy session (SXXP 0.1%,SX5E 0.4%, Adv 43% of SXXP). DAX (0.8%) and UKX (-0.4%) were the top and worst regions. Tech(1.4%) and Positive Al Sentiment (1.6%%) took

Monetary Policy Expectations Analysis

The opinions and research contained in this document (in the form of text, image, video or audio) are (a) not personal financ ial advice nor financial advice about any product or service; (b) provided for information only;

Beyond the Ballot: Existing in the Context…

President Biden’s decision not to seek reelection and the coalescing around Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee have upended the US election campaign.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

2y UST has recently revisited March low of 4.40% which remains an interim support. A brief rebound is taking shape, but it would be

RATES & FOREX RESEARCH FOR CORPORATES

US 2Q GDP on Thursday, June PCE inflation on Friday. Euro and UK preliminary PMIs on Wednesday, Canada second rate cut in the balance. Hungary CB SG f/c no change, consensus -25bp. Turkey CBRT f/c on hold.

On Our Minds A pragmatic budget, but could have been bolder

The new government’s first full budget was pragmatic, but it could have been bolder. When one looks at it as a pure accounting exercise, which it actually is, the budget neither

key debates likely to be on trajectory of auto business and FSD/robotaxis

Tesla reported revenue/non-GAAP diluted EPS (excluding SBC) of$25.5 bn/$0.52, which was 4% above/$0.09 below the Street