海外研报

Global Economics Wrap-Up: July 19, 2024

The case for Fed rate cuts strengthens as elections loom: o US economic data softened further in June: § Trimmed-mean PCE inflation has returned to 2% on a 3-month

Global Rates Notes: Sufficient Liquidity, Constrained Capacity

Treasury repo rates remain broadly anchored, but more sustained pressure sincequarter-end suggests a shift in dynamics.

Global Rates Trader Policy Path Dependent

While US election risk is an inescapable focus in rates market discussions, the lastmonth has revealed the difficulty building clear momentum in trading the eventual

Japan Weekly Kickstart Could sentiment finally be shifting on Japan SMID?

The strong performance of the Russell 2000 index so far thismonth (+8% since 9 July) appears to have re-focused some

INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE:MORNING BRIEFING

OVERNIGHT BRIEFUS/EU trade: European Equities closed lower (SXXP -0.5%, $X5E -1.2%, V2X +0.7pts) with AEX(-1.8%) and UKX (0.3%) the best and worst regions. Tech (-4.5%, -3.6z) fell mostly because ofSemis

Malaysia’sQ2GDP:well-rounded improvement in growth

Malaysia’s Q2 2024 GDP recorded a robust 5.8% y/y growth according to advance estimates released today. Not only did this performance surpass

Fed, Trump, and rotation trades

Shifting our tactical recommendations to neutral for large versus small and Growth versus Value.

Q2’24 Earnings Review: Solid Earnings Result Driven By Subscriber Momentum

Netflix reported a solid Q2 ’24 earnings report driven bybetter-than-expected subscriber growth (driven by strong contentslate & scaling of ad supported tier) with a more mixed picture on

Portfolio Hedging Toolkit (Jul-2024) Buy Semis ETF (SMH) puts

Semis stocks have rallied significantly since the start of 2023 (SMH +154%),mainly driven by AI-related optimism. Our semis analyst Toshiya Hari believes

The Impact of Trade Policy Uncertainty on UK Equity

The US presidential election is re-shaping the Europeanequity market. While markets have just started to fade