海外研报

Half-time calm

We appreciate your 5-star vote in the 2024 Institutional Investor Global Fixed-Income ResearchSurvey. View our analysts » Vote 5 stars for Barclays »

Five TD Sequential signals to know for Q3

Summary: Market timing with TD SequentialOn Thursday July 18th at 12pm NY / 5pm London time we will host a conference call

Argentina: Impressive disinflation, with side-effects

Argentina: Impressive disinflation with side-effectsArgentina inflation is dropping much faster than expected, from 25% in December (13%

Deconstructing the recent rally – and what’s next

Greater confidence in rate cuts? Check. Now: EPS in focusFollowing last week’s inflation data, small caps saw the biggest four-day rally since

Liquid Insight G10 growth convergence and FX

Key takeaways• Q4-to-Q4 consensus GDP forecasts see US growth converging lower to G10. USD has +55% corr to US-World growth diff since 1974.

Outlook for BoJ's "detailed plan" and likelihood of July rate hike

On July 9-10, the Bank of Japan held meetings of the Bond Market Group to gather market opinions on its "detailed plan" for reducing bond purchases, set to be

ChinaPulse: Q2’s 4.7%yoy growth shows the need for government to step up policy support

growth rate in the same period implied a -0.7%yoy GDP deflator for Q2. The growth deceleration was largely due to weakened support from service industry,

Global Commodities What a Trump presidency could mean for commodities

Arguably the most important delta for physical commodity markets coming from a Trump Presidency—a proposed implementation of major tariffs on US imports —wouldn’t come for

ECB—Holds Rate and Emphasises Data-Dependence

BOTTOM LINE: The Governing Council left all policy parameters and the formalguidance unchanged, as widely expected. During the press conference, President

Global Macro Insight 17 July 2024

Door opening to Fed rate cuts, September eyed• The door is opening for the Fed to begin cutting rates soon, which we expect to start in September (25bp). Q2 inflation data indicate disinflation