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USA: Powell Notes Added Confidence from Second Quarter Inflation Progress

BOTTOM LINE: During an interview at the Economic Club of Washington D.C., FedChair Jerome Powell did not comment on the specific timing of the first rate cut but

Powell Deftly Opens the Door for Rate Cuts, but Doesn't Appear Ready to Step Through It

Fed Chair Powell made a subtle shift in his stance on monetary policy today, speaking before the Economic Club ofWashington DC. He made it abundantly clear that he did not want to send a signal about any particular meeting coming

Wealth and wellbeing

For those of us spending our days watching markets and the economy, thelast few weeks have been packed with current events: From elections in the

Attempted assassination of presidential candidate Donald Trump

On Saturday evening, former President Donald Trump was wounded in anassassination attempt during a campaign rally. A bystander was killed, andtwo others were critically wounded. The assailant was shot dead by securityservices.

Global Macro Commentary

Fed Chair Powell says recent inflation data add confidence; USTs bear-steepen; BoC surveys show inflation expectations

Elevating To Top Pick As Apple Intelligence Catalyzes Record Upgrade Cycle

Apple Intelligence is set to drive record device upgrades; our new forecast calls for 235m iPhone shipments in FY25 and 262m in FY26, 2-12% above Street.

US Economics  |  US Economic Data

Headline retail sales were unchanged in June, but the control group rose +0.9%. This is the biggest m/m increase inthe control group since April 2023. Both numbers were stronger than the respective consensus forecasts of -0.3% and+0.2%.

NVDA Thermal Issues?

I got a lot of incoming questions yesterday on a sell-side competitor’s reports of thermal issues impacting NVDA GB200 Bianca board (1 CPU + 2 GPU) mass production. Albert Hung sees no impact so far in the Asia foodchain

Benefit of Lower Rates Offset Holiday Slowdown over the 4th of July

How it Works: In developing the scale, we went back over 50 years of data todetermine averages, outliers, and differing operating environments. As such, a

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Transport Chartbook – thoughts on shipping S/D – Global trade growth remainedstrong in 2Q with air freight up +10% yoy and container +6%. This is driven by a