海外研报

Global Asset Allocation Views

The data reaffirm our base case view of moderating growth and cooling inflation.• This environment supports a risk-on tilt in portfolios, with overweights to equity and credit.

Global Fixed Income Views

A 70% probability of Sub Trend Growth, and a soft landing, remain our base case. While smaller businesses and lower income households struggle with

Mizuho China Weekly Outlook

China’s Q2 GDP growth disappointed, rising 4.7% YoY, compared to market expectations of 5.0% and Q1’s 5.3%. This slowdown was primarily driven by final consumption, which contributed 3.0ppt to headline

Trump shooting, China Q2 GDP to sway market mood

Market HighlightsThe US dollar fell 1.7% this month, respecting seasonality pattern, which has been reinforced by more dovish market expectations for Fed rate cuts. Markets are now

China: Uncertain economic environment overshadows the party plenum

China’s GDP growth slowed down to 4.7% in Q2. Growth relies much onfixed asset investment in manufacturing and infrastructure while consumerconfidence remains low and the downturn in the housing market continues.

Weekly Warm-up: What Does Falling Inflation Mean for Stocks?

What Does Falling Inflation Mean for Stocks? As we have discussed over the last several weeks, the market's focus internally has shifted from

Asia-Pacific Portfolio Strategy: Asian equity market daily update

The MXAPJ Index was flat today. Malaysia and Australia markets outperformed,while Hong Kong and China markets underperformed. Within MXAPJ sectors,

Global Economics Weekly

Slowing US inflation now makes Fed cuts in both Septemberand December likely. Inflation dynamics are less clear in the UK

Summer Stalemates

A Surprise in France: We assessed market impacts after the French legislative electionsdelivered a hung Parliament, with the left coalition unexpectedly coming first, followed by the

Taking shelter from inflation

Weekly Viewpoint: Taking shelter from inflationA downside surprise to June CPI inflation, driven by softer shelter, should increase the Fed’s confidence that inflation is converging to target. That said, rate cuts are not just