海外研报

Thematic Research

Several key economic indicators are due next week across the major economies, including retail sales in the US, inflation in the UK and Japan, as well as Q2 GDP

EM Equities and US tariff risks: The usual suspects

Company revenue exposures may understate sensitivity...Based on theannual CY2023 revenue breakdown of about 1400 MSCI EM companies, we

Global Economics Wrap-Up: July 12, 2024

Consumer sentiment appears more sensitive to inflation in DMs (whereinflation is rarer) than in EMs, and the effect tends to persist for two yearsafter a surge ends.

Summer Break

n GBP: Stay long vs USD. The tactical backdrop looks increasingly friendly for riskand negative for the Dollar with further signs of a benign slowdown in US

JUNE 2024 PRELIMINARY HEDGE FUND PERFORMANCE UPDATE

▪ Hedge funds were up on average 0.46% in June underperforming the MSCI World which was up 2.07%.▪ YTD hedge funds are up 5.81%, underperforming MSCI world which is up 12.04%.

Quarterly Market Review

The economic momentum of the first quarter of 2024 continued into the second, and the last three months were another positive period for equity markets. Initially, investors aggressively

More data please, July edition

Monetary Policy | Still waiting for more data: The ECB will keep rates on hold in July. From its perspective, more data is needed to confirm the assumed (and

Breaking the Rules

It’s a general rule that you should avoid saying “This time is different.” So far, though, I have broken that rule in this cycle, because so much of what we are seeing

We Forecast Core PCE at 0.16% After PPI

We now forecast core PCE inflation for June at 0.16% vs. 0.08%M in May. Headline is forecasted at 0.07% vs. -0.01%M the month prior. We expect the Y/Y

Outlook for public and private markets

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