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Whatever it takes: the 12th anniversary
It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of crisis, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of spreads, it was the
海外研报
2024年07月27日
US growth pick-up but dimmer Europe outlook
US election: Harris steps in, but Trump still more likelyWhile the prediction market-implied odds of Democrats winning the White House
海外研报
2024年07月27日
China: Industrial profits rose sequentially in June
China’s industrial profits and revenue rose by 3.9% yoy and 2.9% yoy, respectively,in June, from +0.5% yoy and +4.1% yoy in May. In sequential terms, industrial
海外研报
2024年07月29日
US growth pick-up but dimmer Europe outlook
US election: Harris steps in, but Trump still more likelyWhile the prediction market-implied odds of Democrats winning the White House
海外研报
2024年07月29日
Weekend Cross-asset Dislocations (28-Jul-2024)
The July short squeeze has been painful, but the short-squeeze should be short-lived
海外研报
2024年07月29日
Weekly Warm-up: Does The Cycle Matter More Than The Election Outcome?
Does the Cycle Matter More Than The Election Outcome? Like in 2016-2017, we are more focused on the cadence of the business cycle than on the
海外研报
2024年07月29日
US Elections & the MexicoChina Bridge vs. Buffer Debate
Chinese investment is a risk to Mexico's nearshoring narrative, not a means to achieve it. Mexico is acting as a China Buffer fending off Asian imports
海外研报
2024年07月29日
New Candidate, Same Implications
To project the impact of elections on the markets, we typically frame scenarios. But we could never have dreamed up the truly wild month we just went
海外研报
2024年07月29日
Navigating a Noisy Election
Prepare for more noise than signal. Uncertainty is high for election results & the macro impacts of key policy choices. We see value in key equity sectors, a skew toward USD &
海外研报
2024年07月29日
