海外研报

JULY INCOME DATA UNDERSCORE FED'S DILEMMA -- MARKET OVERPLAYING PACE OF CUTS

Somehow or another, despite 800,000 fewer on the payrolls than originally reported, the economy starts Q2 on adecided upbeat. The July personal income data do, however, point up a more important issue for the Fed to balance

All eyes turn to the jobs report

The August employment report will be in focus, which we see as the key remaining report ahead of the September FOMC. Also on deck are JOLTS

Australia: CoreLogic House Prices: +0.5% increase in August

Bottom line: Australian capital-city dwelling prices increased +0.5%mom(+7.1%yoy) in August, with ongoing firm growth across Perth (+2.0%mom) and

Sunday Tea with BNPP: Bracing for impact

We are cognisant of the risks of higher yields and flatter curves temporarily if US data is stronger this week (as we expect it to be).

US equities: Options to own for next week’s macro data dump

Glut of data: The Sep 6th straddle for SPY is worth ~1.5%, capturing theManufacturing ISM, Services ISM, NFP, JOLTS and Fed Beige Book prints. This

Active managers’ holdings update What are your neighbors doing?

2Q trades: LOs bought Comm. Svcs., sold cyclicalsOver the last quarter, long-only funds (LOs) increased their relative weight in

Low-income core consumer pressures 2Q comp, see continued risks; Underperform

F2Q adj. EPS $1.70 & comps +0.5% below estsDollar General’s (DG) 2Q adj. EPS of $1.70 was below our $1.84 est. and the Street at

Global Emerging Markets Weekly USD’s summer soft spot for EM

The View: USD’s summer soft spot for EMEM investors remain focused on whether EM assets can benefit from further USD

Global FX weekly What’s next for the USD?

USD. Close to fair value, balanced risks near term, but we remain bearish further out.China matters despite decoupling optics, could further restrain near-term USD sell-off.

Global Research Unlocked Normalizing consumption keeping inflation civil

Key takeaways• BofA Global Research analysts join the podcast to discuss emerging risks, opportunities and growth themes in global markets.