海外研报

Macro at a Glance: Latest views and forecasts

Globally, we expect real GDP growth of 2.7% yoy in 2024, reflecting tailwinds nfrom real household income growth, a gradual recovery in manufacturing activity,

Softer 2024-25 Growth Outlook; Negative Output Gap; Low FX Pass-Through; Marginally Higher r

Bottom-Line: The 2Q24 Inflation Report (2Q-QIR) is consistent with the policysignals conveyed at the Aug 8 MPC meeting and minutes. The MPC became less

Monetary Policy Expectations Analysis

The opinions and research contained in this document (in the form of text, image, video or audio) are (a) not personal financial advice nor financial advice about any product or service; (b) provided for

Global FX Positioning: Short DXY Positions Stretched. Broad USD Positioning Short - Not Stretched

In the week ending Friday, August 23, options pricing data indicate investors added long NZD and GBP positions and increased short USD (DXY) positions. In futures,

Signals, Flows & Key Data

A weekly summary of key cross-asset monitors, data, moves and models tracking sentiment, fund flows and positioning.

THE EUROZONE ECONOMIC MONITOR

Destatis confirmed the decline in German GDP in Q2, despite still not publishing services data.

THE UNITED STATES ECONOMIC MONITOR

We look for a 0.13% rise in the July core PCE deflator, implying downside risk to the 0.2% consensus.Real consumption probably rose by 0.3% in July,

Precious Metals Trading Desk View

This publication was prepared by Bank J Safra Sarasin (BJSS) Trading department. The views or ideas expressed herein are those of the desk and/or the author only. The publication cannot be considered as investment research or a

Salesforce Inc. (CRM): First Take on F2Q25 Results

Salesforce is indicated up 4% AH as F2Q25 with sub revenue +9% yoy (+10% inCC) vs FactSet consensus’ 8.4%, OM of 33.7% (vs expectations for 32%), cRPO

Fixed Income Special European futures rollover outlook Sep-24/Dec-24

The last trading date for Eurex June futures is 6 September and delivery is on 10 September. The first delivery date for Gilt June futures is 2 September. The rollover will gradually start on 27