海外研报

Bits & pieces

UnDebtfeatable - The indications are strong that regardless of who wins the US election additional deficits and debt are coming down the pipeline – it’s out of control and can’t be

Basis Trade Growth Is Massive

(Bloomberg Intelligence) -- Leveraged net shorts of Treasury futures have surged to a historic $1.1trillion in notional value, accelerating 38% in the past four months. While the record short position

AUD mid-year update: bullish but China & positioning cap upside

AUD: rates tailwind… We continue to see the AUD gradually higher over the next few quarters (year-end ’24 forecast: 0.69/ year-end ’25: 0.72) but near-term upside is likely to be capped by the

High Frequency Monitor Safety net

Global equities rallied on a prospective Fed rate cutThe MSCI AC World Index rallied +1.7% last week on expectations the US Fed rate cut

Patience and persistence pay off for Pampa Energia

Move to OW on scale, trajectory, fundamentals & strategyPampa Energiía has been able to maintain low leverage, high liquidity while still

Exchange volumes remain a bright spot within Cap Mkts 3QTD

More than halfway through 3Q24, we take a look at capitalmarkets KPIs and its impact on revenue trends across the

Reiterate Buy rating (on Conviction List) on Potential

We reiterate our Buy rating on NVDA (also on the Conviction List)ahead of FY2Q (July) results scheduled for August 28 (post market

US MARKET INTELLIGENCE: MACRO WEEK AHEAD

AUG 26- Durable Goods and Cap Goods at 8:30am ET. Dallas Fed Mfg. Activity at10:30am ET.AUG 27 - FHFA House Price index and House Price Purchase Index at 9am ET. Conf.Board Consumer Confidence/Present

US MARKET INTELLGENCE:MORNING BRIEFING

US: Futs are higher to start the week with small-caps outperforming. Pre-mkt, NVDA (+94bps)is leading both Mag7 and Semis higher as bond yields continue to decline as yield curve bullsteepens. USD is flat and commodities are bid with both Energy and

Volatility Review

On Aug $* the VIX saw its largest ever intraday spike, driven by the largemarket sell-off, investor panic, a shift in short-dated volatility positioning, andlow liquidity during the pre-market session.