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US Treasury futures: calendar rolls outlook, September-December 2024
RecommendationsTU – Mildly bearish. Positioning is bearish due to record-high asset manager net positioning in the sector. TU roll will likely be sensitive to risk events and front-end moves, including a
海外研报
2024年08月24日
The Euro’s powering a balance of payments boom
My colleague Fabien Bossy sent me the chart (below) of the Eurozone current account this morning. Europe’s current account surplus reached EUR 51bn in June, EUR 370bn (2.5% GDP) in
海外研报
2024年08月24日
Tariffs and the quest for new markets to drive ODI
China’s latest balance of payments (BOP) data shows that its net direct investmentoutflows (outward minus inward FDI) have picked up very quickly to a historical high.
海外研报
2024年08月24日
Budget - Fiscal prudence through reduced capex
The first budget of the newly elected government has chosen to maintain a conservative fiscal approach, despite President-elect Prabowo Subianto suggesting a departure from
海外研报
2024年08月24日
Stronger Asian currencies heading into Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech
Asian FX continued to strengthen against the Dollar this week ahead Powell’s keynote speech in the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday evening. This week
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2024年08月24日
Taiwan: Broad Declines in IP and Retail Sales in July
Taiwan’s industrial production (IP) fell 3.3% mom sa in July, with the pace of declineaccelerating from -0.6% the previous month. The outcome was in line with
海外研报
2024年08月24日
The ECB's throuple... or trouble?
The accounts of the July ECB meeting noted that September “was widely seen as a good time to re-evaluate” the level of monetary policy restriction. But caution remains the key word. In fact,
海外研报
2024年08月24日
Summer data-only update
Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures,
海外研报
2024年08月24日
US Weekly Kickstart
This week we published our Hedge Fund Trend Monitor and Mutual Fundamentals reports, which analyzed $6.5 trillion of holdings at the start of 3Q
海外研报
2024年08月24日
USA: New Home Sales Well Above Expectations; Boosting Q3 GDP Tracking to +2.5%
BOTTOM LINE: New home sales jumped in July, significantly above consensusexpectations for a smaller increase. Following this morning’s data, we boosted our
海外研报
2024年08月24日
