海外研报

Economic Insights

Core CPI inflation likely remained weak in July. We expect an increase of just 0.077% m-o-m, similar to the June reading of 0.065% .

What next after a volatile week for markets?

The period of relative calm for markets came to a screeching halt overthe last week or so. But while recent market moves have been dramatic,

UBS House View Monthly Extended August 2024 - intra-month update

The original report, published on 18 July 2024, is being republished to remove our Asset Class downside scenarios, as

Oil Tracker: Positioning: Only Up From Here

The Brent crude price rebounded by 6% from a week ago as broader macro marketscontinued to recover, as solid US activity data shifted energy investors’ focus from

poast Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc

Stocks struggled for direction yesterday as markets looked ahead to a packed data calendar for the rest of the week. The S&P500 closed flat, the NASDAQ rose 0.21% and the EuroStoxx 50

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

2y UST experienced a steep down move after break below multi-month ascending trend line and recently revisited May 2023 low of

Multi-Asset Strategy Daily

The first hurdle for UK markets – the labour market report – came in this morning. Wage data were in line, with weekly earnings excl. bonus rising 5.4% on a 3M/YoY basis. This seems like good news, as wages are

The Risk Of An Inflation Surprise

Investors are so certain that the Federal Reserve is all set to make aggressive cuts in interest rates, that if July’s CPI release this Wednesday comes in higher

Gold to get its medal

The Fed’s cutting cycle, when it begins, will attract strategic investment in gold. We have lifted our year-end price target for gold to USD2,550/oz.

The Ghosts of August Shall Fade August 2024

The last several weeks have been turbulent for equity markets, and the potential for episodic volatility persists amid concerns such as: the Federal Reserve (Fed)