海外研报

July FOMC minutes highlightedlabor market risks

The minutes to the July 30-31 FOMC meeting (which occurred just before therelease ofthe weak Julylaborreport)skewed dovish and showeda committee morefocused on labor market risks than the possibility of a renewed jump in inflationeven if

Macro at a Glance: Latest views and forecasts

Globally, we expect real GDP growth of 2.7% yoy in 2024, reflecting tailwindsfrom real household income growth, a gradual recovery in manufacturing activity,

Our Top Stock Picks - North America Research

A Summer of Uncertainty. This summer has been characterized by macro uncertainty with data surprising to both the downside and upside. The market has

On the border, Nietzsche--Global Daily

Market comments“Cruisin' down the center of a two-way street; Wonderin' who is really in the driver's seat

Summer revision courses: Monetary Framework

Like every summer, we are publishing a series of short papers on the ECB’s tools to help you revise during the summer so you can be

Weekly Options Watch What’s priced in for Jackson Hole?

Ahead of the Aug 22-24 Jackson Hole symposium, option prices on US bankstocks and most ETFs are low relative to history, while investors are expecting

MINUTES REVEAL LOST CONFIDENCE, BENCHMARK PAYROLL REVISION UNDERSCORES THE POINT

The FOMC is a lot less sure about whether policy is in the right spot than it was six weeks ago. Then, we read howmonetary policy was “well positioned” to handle whatever came next. No such phrasing in July, just handwringing