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Confidence Game-Global Daily
As we approach the Jackson Hole Symposium later this week the message from Fed speakers, broadly, has been that they are gaining confidence that the economy is reaching the point where
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Market expectations of the Fed's labormarket reaction
Today's chart explores how these changes as well as other dynamics over recentyears may have affected market expectations of the FOMC's reaction to the labormarket, drawing onaspecialquestiontheNYFed periodicallyincludesin
海外研报
2024年08月20日
The Treasury cash-futures basis ischeap
The reason for these high expected returns-or, put slightly differently, thecheapness of the Treasury basis -likely stems from the recent increase in marketvolatility and ongoing concerns about funding pressure. As the chart shows,
海外研报
2024年08月20日
The yen carry trade-what if Japaninstitutions decide to unwind?
Public pension funds. lhe GPlF is the big one here, with other smallerfunds believed to generally follow its lead. There's a growing view that theGPIFcould cutforeign bond exposure when it announces its next policy mixin 2025.
海外研报
2024年08月20日
What Companies Are Saying: StillWaiting And Seeing
Companies broadly report steady growth butnota lotofupward momentum as theyand their customers are still in a pervasive wait and see loop given lingeringuncertainties around inflation, interest rates, domestic politics, elections,
海外研报
2024年08月20日
The Major bond letter Free to View Fixed Income - Rates Global #52. Turning points
Head fake or the real thing? The question bond investors and traders are debating today is whether the events of the last few weeks will mark a decisive turning point
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Israel: Large Downside Surprise to Growth in Q2
Bottom Line: Israel’s GDP growth fell from +17.3%qoq annl. to +1.2%qoq annl.(both seasonally adjusted), which was significantly below consensus expectations
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2024年08月20日
Japan: April-June Machinery Orders Flat, but Exceed Previously Announced Outlook
BOTTOM LINE: Private sector core machinery orders, a leading indicator for capex,rose +2.1% mom in June, the first increase in three months, and came in above the
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Monetary Policy Expectations Analysis
The opinions and research contained in this document (in the form of text, image, video or audio) are (a) not personal financial advice nor financial advice about any product or service; (b) provided for
海外研报
2024年08月20日
The Weekly Worldview: As the Dust Settles
As the dust settles following the market turmoil of the past couple of weeks, we huddled with our economists around the world to review the risks to our baseline
海外研报
2024年08月20日
