海外研报

Assessing the risks around our 2025 S&P 500 EPS estimates after a strong 2Q 2024 earnings season

The macro backdrop has distracted many investors from fully appreciating the strength of the 2Q earnings season. 56% of S&P 500 firms beat

On Crude's Tug-Of-War

Bottom Line: A continued softening of oil demand will eventually intensifybearish pressures and pull the floor from beneath oil prices. But we probably arenot there yet..

The US Fiscal OutlookIs Unsightly,But A Debt Crisis Is Not Inevitable

Executive SummaryInvestors have observed that pandemic spending materially worsened the USfiscal outlook and are asking our US strategists about it in nearly every meeting

Q2 preview: bumpier path, same compelling destination

Blackwell transition could mute upside near-termMaintain Buy, top sector pick ahead of NVDA FQ2 (Jul) results due 28-Aug. Media reports

Regime Indicator weakened, Recovery in question

Regime Indicator slips. Downturn next?Our US Regime Indicator declined in July for the first time since December 2023,

Trading Catalysts Eyes on Jackson Hole, minds on NVDA

Economics: Slow and steadyThe message from last week’s data was clear: inflation is soft enough for the Fed to

Tail wags dog as rate hike expectations fade despite hawkish rate increase

The BoJ increased its policy rate to 0.25% at the July 30-31 Monetary Policy Meeting when the market was not expecting it and also emphasized its intention to

Data pushes back against 50bp September cut

A fed-focused week lies ahead with the annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium in the spotlight, along with the minutes from the July FOMC