海外研报

Four key takeaways from the latest sell-off

The short-term rates market is still fully pricing in a recession (and risks position unwinds if data doesn’t comply).

Brazil: Consumers help lift 2024 growth estimate, but 2025 outlook has weakened

Recent industrial production and retail sales data point to strong consumptionfueled growth in 2Q24, with a carryover effect leading us to upgrade our 3Q24

Some relief, however the risks still remain

The market began the week with a broad-based risk-off sentiment on Monday, and the continued carry trade unwinding pushed the USD/JPY and USD/CNY

Economics Focus:Summer revision course

This summer, we propose a series of short papers on some key macro topics to help you revise your fundamentals so you can be perfectly

TAIEX -1% despite a 3% rebound in TSMC, amid declines across non-defensive

Performance: MSCI/All Taiwan +0.6%/-0.9% this week,outperforming MXAPJ by +1.5% (in US$), with gains in

US Economic Perspectives CPI preview comment

We continue to expect a 25 bp rate cut in September and not 50 bp. We view the current debate amongst the FOMC as whether they want to move from long signaling a

UK—July Inflation and June Labour Market Preview

BOTTOM LINE: We expect the upcoming July inflation print (scheduled for releaseon 14th August) to see services inflation decelerate to 5.48%, down from 5.74% in

Ukraine: Inflation Rises Above Mid-Point of Target, As Expected

Bottom Line: Headline CPI rose by 0.6pp to +5.4%yoy in July, broadly in line withour forecast and consensus expectations (both +5.3%yoy). This marks the first time