海外研报

Asia-Pacific Portfolio Strategy: Asian equity market daily update

The MXAPJ Index rose 0.5% today. Indonesia and Korea markets outperformed,while China and Hong Kong markets underperformed. Within MXAPJ sectors, Info

Australian Economic Insight

Australian Economic Outlook: revised forecasts Our broad outlook remains that real household disposable incomes will get a

Our forecast for BoJ's next hike frontloaded to January

We frontload our call for the next hike to Jan (from Apr) with arisk of an earlier move in Dec. Labor cost pass-through to

Yen Carry And AI Bubble: One And The Same Trade

The analysis of price complexity strongly suggests that the ‘yen carry trade’ and the AI bubble are one and the same trade, premised on three conditions:

Labor Market Trumps inflation Right Now (For BondYields)

US producer prices rose by a softer-than-expected 0.1% m/m in July, from 0.2% in June. The core measureremained unchanged, the tamest reading in four months. Notably, the index for final demand services fel0.2% m/m.

Loans To China's Real Economy Contracts For First TimeIn Two Decades

Aggregate financing missed expectations, growing CNY 0.8bn to CNY 18.9bn in July on a YTD basis. Newloans grew CNY

Should You Buy The Dip?

e First rate cut: Equities correct after the first rate cut, even if it were to stave off recession.

What about Trump and China?

According to BCA Research's Geopolitical Strategy service, Trump's brand, legacy, and populist movementare based on the

BofA on USA Payback, not a slowdown

We expect a consensus-like retail sales report for JulyTotal card spending per household (HH), as measured by BAC aggregated credit and

Mixed 2Q24 results: lower crop yields, but higher rice prices and buybacks

2024 yields revised down as harvesting advancesAdecoagro reported 2Q24 results. Although we believe quarterly earnings for