海外研报

apan: June Wages: Special Wages Boost Nominal Cash Wage Growth, Real Wages Turn Positive

BOTTOM LINE: Nominal cash wage growth accelerated sharply to +4.5% yoy inJune, from +2.0% in May. Special wages, including summer bonuses, boosted

10y JGB auction preview: A highly volatile climate

POTENTIAL POSITIVES・ BOJ's 31 July announcement has reduced uncertainty about JGB purchase taperingThe BOJ's "detailed plan" for tapering back its JGB absorption was basically in line with the

Cross Asset StrategyWhere is the bottom?

Have we seen the worst of it? We rewiew the history of bottaming signals,which suggest there is rnore pain to come.

Beddriz Artuines arbeamiz annesd.pencom.PVorgan Chase Bank k.h, London Branch

A wli mde yoslerne a noll owor andMMEJMWALOJSD M prICUabouncing 2 5%6 aN heh I WAI GT! LHAE D MnceamBmE-fWBEN955l gan aiy support tom whal mas al eicourag ng U$ $eroes

INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE: JULY 2024 RECAP

In July, the US market narrative was choppy. “Growth without inflatlon" prevailed but "HardLanding" concerns started to emerge in the last week of Jjuly following JOLTs, ciaims and

Nomura Quant Insights

US equities: CTAs and volatility control funds behind the curve in getting outThe latest (and much-watched) US jobs report brought a disappointment. The announced

Strategy Trade

RationaleOur short GBP/JPY has traded above our dynamic trailing stop at 185.80. As such, we take profit on the original trade (opened at 199.50 on 24 July) with a gain of 6.9%. We still

USD/JPY: We lower our near-term forecast

cut rates substantially / Will Japanese investors accelerate JPY appreciation?USD/JPY corrected to the 142-143 range for a while today, apparently reflecting the

Precious Metals Trading Desk View

This publication was prepared by Bank J Safra Sarasin (BJSS) Trading department. The views or ideas expressed

The big carry unwind is underway

The unwind is real but this morning’s moves are overdone. You can’t unwind the biggest carry trade the world has ever seen without breaking a few